Technical Indicators in Focus – Twilio Inc (NYSE: TWLO)

Wall Street stocks rallied on Friday (Jun 1) after US jobs growth topped expectations, shifting attention from global trade war concerns.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished the final session of the week with a gain of 219.37 points (0.90 per cent) at 24,635.21.

The broad-based S&P 500 rose 29.35 points (1.08 per cent) to end at 2,734.62, while the tech-rich Nasdaq Composite Index jumped 112.21 points (1.51 per cent) to 7,554.33.

Officials continued to respond to President Donald Trump’s decision Thursday to impose trade tariffs on imported steel and aluminium from Europe, Mexico and Canada, with French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire warning at a Group of Seven ministerial in Canada that Trump was risking “economic destabilisation of the planet.”

But shareholders took solace from strong US data.

The Labor Department stated that the US added 223,000 non-farm jobs last month, stronger than the consensus forecast of economists, and unemployment fell 3.8 per cent, its lowest level in 18 years.

A report by the Institute for Supply Management on the manufacturing industry also topped expectations.

Technology shares led the market, with Apple winning 1.80 per cent, Facebook 1.15 per cent and Google-parent Alphabet 3.18 per cent.

Ford rose 1.39 per cent after reporting that May US car sales rose 0.7 per cent, better than the 1.9 per cent decline predictable by Edmunds.com.

US-traded shares of Petrobras dived 14.7 per cent after chief executive Pedro Parente resigned from the Brazilian oil giant in the wake of a devastating truckers’ strike over high fuel prices.

Parente quit after Brazil President Michel Temer bowed to demands from truckers for cheaper fuel, guaranteeing them discounted diesel for a period of 60 days. (Source: AFP/ec)

Hot Stock Analysis: Twilio Inc (NYSE: TWLO)

Investors rushed to trade on Twilio Inc (NYSE: TWLO) Friday, soon after a drastic change of 6.50% in the share price was observed and the stock become able to close its trade at $57.48. The stock becomes active when traders or investors changed hands with 3,091,133 shares contrast to the three-month volume average of 2.34M shares. The ratio between current volume and 3-month average value, also known as Relative volume was observed at 1.32, validating the stock’s In Play state.

Stock Technical’s & Performances to Explore:

Based on a recent bid, this stock (TWLO) was trading at a distance of 1.45% from 52-week high and 147.23% away from its 52-week low price. We observed 8.00% rate of return for a stock for the last 5-trading days, which was maintained for the month at 32.99%. Likewise, the performance for the quarter was recorded as 53.98% and for the year was 138.01%. The comparison of these above mentioned historical values gives an idea to investor whether the stock is ready to shift trend (up to down or down to up) or how the stock has recovered the losses or shed gains during its historical phase. For example, if stock’s weekly and monthly performances are positive as compared to year and YTD performance percentage also seems to decrease in comparison to the previous year performance, then one can say that the stock is bouncing back and may able to gain more and more in near future and vice versa. Although stock’s historical performances are key to consider, don’t invest (or not invest) based solely on it. It’s just one measure of value. As a serious shareholder, you need to look at plentiful factors that can assist you determine whether any given stock is a good investment.

Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) in Focus:

Moving averages is one of the key indicator and the most powerful tool used by traders. A simple moving average is easy to calculate, which allows it to be employed fairly quickly and easily. A textbook definition of a moving average is an average price for a security using a specified time period. The simplest form of a moving average, appropriately known as a simple moving average (SMA), is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values. For example, to calculate a basic 10-day moving average you would add up the closing prices from the past 10 days and then divide the result by 10. If a trader wishes to see a 50-day average instead, the same type of calculation would be made, but it would include the prices over the past 50 days and the same process goes on for 200 days.

Do SMAs Signal a Trend Reversal?

Based on a recent bid, this stock (TWLO) was trading at a distance of 11.08% from 20 days simple moving average, and its distance from 50 days simple moving average is 28.52% while it has a distance of 73.09% from the 200 days simple moving average. A moving average’s greatest strength is its ability to assist a trader identifies a current trend or spots a possible trend reversal. Moving averages can also identify a level of support or resistance for the security, or act as a simple entry or exit signal.

Stock’s Volatility Analysis:

Volatility is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time as measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. It generally deals with the amount of uncertainty or risk about the size of changes in a security’s value. It can either be calculated by means of the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. The Rule of thumb is higher the volatility, the riskier the security. A higher volatility means that a security’s value can potentially be spread out over a larger range of values. This means that the price of the security can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction. A lower volatility means that a security’s value does not fluctuate dramatically, but changes in value at a steady pace over a period of time.

What about TWLO Stock’s Volatility?

According to finviz data, TWLO stock’s volatility for the week is measured at 2.91%, while for the month it is maintained at 4.14%.

An Eye on Beta Factor:

One gauge of the relative volatility of a specific stock to the market is its beta. A beta approximates the overall volatility of a security’s returns against the returns of a relevant benchmark (usually the S&P 500 is used). Presently, Beta factor for TWLO stock stands at N/A. A beta of 1 indicates that the security’s price moves with the market. A beta of less than 1 means that the security is theoretically less volatile than the market. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security’s price is theoretically more volatile than the market. For example, if a stock’s beta is 1.2, it’s theoretically 20% more volatile than the market. Conversely, if an ETF’s beta is 0.65, it is theoretically 35% less volatile than the market. Therefore, the fund’s excess return is predictable to underperform the benchmark by 35% in up markets and outperform by 35% during down markets.

What Do Analysts’ Recommend?

Analysts mean recommendation for the stock is 1.80, (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Strong Sell).

Disclaimer: Any news, report, research and analysis published on Stockspen.com are only for information purposes. Stocks Pen (SP) makes sure to keep the information up to date and correct, but we didn’t suggest or recommend buying or selling of any financial instrument, unless that information is subsequently confirmed on your own. Information in this release is fact checked and produced by competent editors of Stocks Pen; however, human error can exist.

Steve Backshall

Steve Backshall

I am Steve Backshall and I give an insight into the most recent news hitting the Technology Sector in Wall Street. I have been an independent financial adviser for over 10 years in the city and in recent years turned my experience in finance and passion for journalism into a full time role. I perform analysis of Companies and publicizes valuable information for shareholder community. I am an accomplished journalist who has a passion for travel. My desire to see the world has taken me to countries around the world and given me the opportunity to report for some of the top news organizations.

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