The health-care sector, which includes some of the big medical marijuana names, assisted Canada’s main stock index notch a small gain Monday, while U.S. stock markets also closed up as geopolitical tensions eased.
The S&P/TSX composite index closed up 26.41 points at 15,300.38, as losses in energy and metal stocks held back further gains.
In New York, the Dow Jones industrial average closed up 212.90 points at 24,573.04 . The S&P 500 index ended up 21.54 points at 2,677.84 and the Nasdaq composite index was up 49.63 points at 7,156.28.
The Canadian dollar averaged 79.50 cents U.S., up 0.12 of a U.S. cent.
The May crude contract ended down $1.17 (U.S.) cents at $66.22 per barrel and the May natural gas contract was up two cents to $2.75 per mmBTU.
The June gold contract closed up $2.80 to $1,350.70 an ounce and the May copper contract ended up three cents at $3.10 a pound. (Source: TheStar)
Hot Stock Analysis: Alder Biopharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: ALDR)
Investors rushed to trade on Alder Biopharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: ALDR) Monday, soon after a drastic change of -1.02% in the share price was observed and the stock become able to close its trade at $14.55. The stock becomes active when traders or investors changed hands with 880,347 shares contrast to the three-month volume average of 1.59M shares. The ratio between current volume and 3-month average value, also known as Relative volume was observed at 0.55, validating the stock’s In Play state.
Stock Technical’s & Performances to Explore:
Based on a recent bid, this stock (ALDR) was trading at a distance of -35.33% from 52-week high and 69.19% away from its 52-week low price. We observed 15.02% rate of return for a stock for the last 5-trading days, which was maintained for the month at 3.56%. Likewise, the performance for the quarter was recorded as -18.49% and for the year was -32.95%. The comparison of these above mentioned historical values gives an idea to investor whether the stock is ready to shift trend (up to down or down to up) or how the stock has recovered the losses or shed gains during its historical phase. For example, if stock’s weekly and monthly performances are positive as compared to year and YTD performance percentage also seems to decrease in comparison to the previous year performance, then one can say that the stock is bouncing back and may able to gain more and more in near future and vice versa. Although stock’s historical performances are key to consider, don’t invest (or not invest) based solely on it. It’s just one measure of value. As a serious shareholder, you need to look at plentiful factors that can assist you determine whether any given stock is a good investment.
Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) in Focus:
Moving averages is one of the key indicator and the most powerful tool used by traders. A simple moving average is easy to calculate, which allows it to be employed fairly quickly and easily. A textbook definition of a moving average is an average price for a security using a specified time period. The simplest form of a moving average, appropriately known as a simple moving average (SMA), is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean of a given set of values. For example, to calculate a basic 10-day moving average you would add up the closing prices from the past 10 days and then divide the result by 10. If a trader wishes to see a 50-day average instead, the same type of calculation would be made, but it would include the prices over the past 50 days and the same process goes on for 200 days.
Do SMAs Signal a Trend Reversal?
Based on a recent bid, this stock (ALDR) was trading at a distance of 13.47% from 20 days simple moving average, and its distance from 50 days simple moving average is 6.58% while it has a distance of 20.73% from the 200 days simple moving average. A moving average’s greatest strength is its ability to assist a trader identifies a current trend or spots a possible trend reversal. Moving averages can also identify a level of support or resistance for the security, or act as a simple entry or exit signal.
Stock’s Volatility Analysis:
Volatility is the degree of variation of a trading price series over time as measured by the standard deviation of logarithmic returns. It generally deals with the amount of uncertainty or risk about the size of changes in a security’s value. It can either be calculated by means of the standard deviation or variance between returns from that same security or market index. The Rule of thumb is higher the volatility, the riskier the security. A higher volatility means that a security’s value can potentially be spread out over a larger range of values. This means that the price of the security can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction. A lower volatility means that a security’s value does not fluctuate dramatically, but changes in value at a steady pace over a period of time.
What about ALDR Stock’s Volatility?
According to finviz data, ALDR stock’s volatility for the week is measured at 6.31%, while for the month it is maintained at 6.11%.
An Eye on Beta Factor:
One gauge of the relative volatility of a specific stock to the market is its beta. A beta approximates the overall volatility of a security’s returns against the returns of a relevant benchmark (usually the S&P 500 is used). Presently, Beta factor for ALDR stock stands at 2.54. A beta of 1 indicates that the security’s price moves with the market. A beta of less than 1 means that the security is theoretically less volatile than the market. A beta of greater than 1 indicates that the security’s price is theoretically more volatile than the market. For example, if a stock’s beta is 1.2, it’s theoretically 20% more volatile than the market. Conversely, if an ETF’s beta is 0.65, it is theoretically 35% less volatile than the market. Therefore, the fund’s excess return is predictable to underperform the benchmark by 35% in up markets and outperform by 35% during down markets.
What Do Analysts’ Recommend?
Analysts mean recommendation for the stock is 2.00, (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Strong Sell).
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